Andy Burnham wins Makerfield – so what next?

I won’t need to remind folk who regularly follow my ranting and ramblings on the Internet that I am a political nerd who is disillusioned with the political parties in the UK, but who hopes against hope that soon a group of politicians will arise that can work with the Almighty to help sort out my beloved country.

Labour MP Josh Simons resigned May 14 so, it is said, that Andy Burnham can return to his home, fight to re-enter Parliament. Burnham was Greater Manchester Mayor, not an MP, but needed a Commons seat to challenge Keir Starmer for Labour leadership. Makerfield is a UK Parliament constituency in Greater Manchester, covering the towns of Ashton-in-Makerfield, Hindley, and other areas on the western edge of Wigan. It’s made up of 8 wards lying wholly inside the Wigan metropolitan borough. Makerfield has been Labour since 1983, Labour since 1906 in predecessor seats. But Reform UK came 2nd in 2024 with 31.8%, just 5,399 votes behind. In May 2026 locals, Reform won all 8 wards in Makerfield with ∼50% vs Labour 27%. It has been noted it has a high white British working-class population, likely concerned about immigration and in the past voting for Brexit (thus explaining the Reform interest) and more aligned to Old rather than New Labour.

It has been said this working class area that once dug for coal is now digging for meaning (having had to find new occupations to replace the old ones). After much speculating on outcome, and intensive campaigning from all sides and much reporting, it did vote in Burnham on Thursday 18th June 2026, and did so by a decisive majority and with a surprisingly high voter turnout. Once Burnham won, it was generally reckoned that he would then launch his own, much lauded, Labour leadership challenge (and with Starmer’s resignation, yesterday, that is what happened).  Yet Starmer still congratulated him on winning, making the point: “Voters chose Labour’s campaign of hope and optimism over division and hate”.

Last Thursday’s Makerfield by-election was particularly interesting and significant as far as by-elections go, not least because of its demographic and the unusual reason for holding the election, i.e., to make way for a challenge to the leadership of the Labour Party. Even more interesting is that it was a way to measure the political mood of the nation, especially given the Left versus Right (not that I like that term) divide now being seen, which I have blogged about. The two other parties of particular interest were Reform and Restore. Reform may feel disappointed that they were far behind Labour, in second place, even though far ahead of Restore in third place, with Conservative far behind them in fourth place. We face the prospect of three parties of the so-called Right – Reform, Restore and Conservative, now looking to challenge Labour for future political power, with LibDems and Greens, the two parties on the so-called Left looking to do so. We live, as they say, in interesting days.

As I often point out, my record as a political pundit is poor, although I would like to think that does not apply to my record as a bemused and concerned citizen. The prospect of the new Labour Leader, calling a General Election this year remains low (after all Labour have a sizable parliamentary majority and now new hope) but as for Burnham being next Prime Minister, he is now red-hot favourite. Interestingly, the bookies have Reform down for getting most seats at the next General Election, followed by Labour, Conservative, Green, Restore and LibDems. But let me turn to Labour, which will soon, almost certainly, be led by, now MP, Andy Burnham.

I could do a deep dive in sizing up Burnham, especially having done a fair amount of reading and listening to those giving their opinions (“Douglas Carswell: Andy Burnham will be worse than Starmer” (see here) speaks sense) – but I won’t – I need to get back to Amos – who is interestingly the Hebrew prophet pertinently well-known for proclaiming justice for the poor. But I am highly suspicious of the fellow. I have zero confidence he will implement much needed reform, which begins with taking back control from non-elected players who right now run the country. While it is hard to imagine him being as bad as Starmer, I still think he is/will be pretty bad. Dare I say it, the Makerfield electorate who returned their own personable Northern lad, their champion and having done at least a half decent job when mayor of Manchester, will be in for a shock when this new chameleon, globalist Prime Minister, leading a much discredited Labour Party, set soon to run the country, fails to deliver on reversing national decline, tensions and calamity. What happens when the seemingly inevitable happens is anyone’s guess. We must prepare for the worst and hope for the best.

The feud between Nigel Farage (Reform) and Rupert Lowe (Restore) looks set to continue and as for who will eventually come out on top this being an interesting question, and not to forget the prospect of a resurgent Conservative Party, no doubt delighted at winning Aberdeen on the same day that Labour won the Makerfield by-election. Along with Greens and LibDems, these are the main alternatives as things stand. But as I keep saying: we shouldn’t be politically uninvolved as politics is this is one way people can and do help the community, and I admire those thus motivated, but let us hope in God, who, unlike most politicians, does deliver on all his promises and, moreover, imposes and deposes leaders.  

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One thought on “Andy Burnham wins Makerfield – so what next?

  1. Paul Fox's avatar Paul Fox says:

    Politics is all about Justice, not who should be making the most money. And who uses their wealth to support the rich and not the poor. I have great respect for Christians who are involved in politics. Both Melanie and Mark, who stood as Green candidates in the last council elections. Although I disagree with our MP David Burton-Sampson, he is a Christian and attended our church anniversary. Last Sunday was not just Father’s Day, but also Refugee Sunday. We saw on our screens refugees telling their stories and saw how Christian groups are helping them. Our church collect and raise funds for Christian Aid for this work. Many Christians and non Christians are standing up for the people of Gaza and the West Bank by putting on a sheet of paper that they are against Genocide in Gaza and support Palestine Action. They are willing to go to prison to stand up for justice. Many are elderly and frail. Others are doing the same about climate change and global warming, because of the injustice of people in the third world who are suffering from lack of water, floods, their islands being washed away, and the destruction of their land. We can’t build a wall around our country and keep it all to ourselves. This is what Deform and Farage, T Robinson, want to do, as Trump is trying to do . Spend more on arms and cut back on aid. When will we ever learn. I will put this on Facebook and see if it disappears 🙏

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